The rate of flu hospital admissions in England has decreased for the first time this winter, according to data from the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA). As of the week ending December 21, 2023, the admission rate stood at 7.8 per 100,000, a decline from 10.0 per 100,000 the previous week. Despite this reduction, health officials have issued a warning that the flu virus remains active and could “bounce back” in the new year.
Admissions have notably dropped across all age groups, with the most vulnerable population—those aged 85 and over—recording a rate of 47.0 per 100,000, down from 64.5 the prior week. Dr. Jamie Lopez-Bernal, a consultant epidemiologist at UKHSA, described the current figures as “encouraging,” but stressed the need for vigilance.
Ongoing Risks Amid Declining Numbers
Dr. Lopez-Bernal emphasized the importance of protecting oneself and others, especially as families come together during the holiday season. “Flu is always unpredictable, is still circulating, and could bounce back even further in the new year,” he said. He urged those who are eligible and have not yet been vaccinated to do so promptly, highlighting that “nobody wants to start the new year with flu.”
Vaccination is crucial in preventing severe illness and hospitalisation. Dr. Lopez-Bernal noted that while the decline in hospital admissions is a positive sign, the threat of the flu virus still looms large.
The recent drop in admissions coincided with ongoing industrial action by junior doctors in England, who are engaged in a dispute with the government over pay and working conditions. Professor Meghana Pandit, NHS England’s national medical director, pointed out that the combination of strikes and seasonal viruses means “many hospitals will be on high alert in the days ahead.”
Comparative Trends and Recommendations
Last winter, flu admissions peaked at 16.2 per 100,000 people in the week leading up to Christmas, and further increased to 18.1 per 100,000 during what was reported as the UK’s worst flu outbreak in a decade. Current figures indicate a significant decline compared to those levels.
Data from the UKHSA also shows that an average of 17.2% of flu tests conducted in GP surgeries and hospitals returned positive results last week, down from 21.1% the week prior.
The UKHSA recommends that individuals experiencing cold or flu-like symptoms limit their contact with others and consider wearing face coverings in crowded indoor spaces. Regular handwashing and ensuring proper ventilation in enclosed areas are also advised to reduce the spread of the virus.
As the holiday season approaches, health officials remain vigilant, urging the public to stay informed and take necessary precautions against the potential resurgence of flu.
