US and Israel Target Tehran: Implications for China’s Role

Following military strikes by the United States and Israel on Tehran, the spotlight has turned to China and its potential response to this escalating situation. As a strategic partner of Iran, questions arise regarding whether Beijing would consider military intervention to support the Islamic Republic of Iran.

In an interview conducted on February 26, 2024, just prior to the strikes, Professor Victor Gao, a prominent Chinese scholar, shared insights into China’s approach to warfare and international conflicts. Speaking to Reports on China, Gao emphasized that China has traditionally viewed war as a last resort, consistently advocating for peaceful conflict resolution.

“War should always be treated as a last resort,” Gao stated. He cited China’s handling of border disputes with India and maritime tensions with the Philippines as instances where Beijing, despite possessing superior military capabilities, opted for restraint. This philosophy reflects a broader strategic preference for dialogue over military engagement.

Gao further argued that China’s hesitance to resort to military force should not be misconstrued as a sign of weakness. He pointed to China’s advancements in military technology, particularly in shipbuilding and radar systems, which he believes provide Beijing with a stronger position to advocate for peace. “The luxury of demanding peace,” he noted, stems from China’s growing military strength.

When addressing the possibility of Chinese military support for Iran, Gao did not provide a direct answer regarding intervention in the current crisis. However, he implied that China would likely prefer diplomatic avenues rather than military action. “Peace with China is inevitable,” he asserted, highlighting the mutual benefits of dialogue in international relations.

As tensions rise in the region, Beijing has called for restraint and is closely monitoring developments that could impact its regional interests and energy security. China’s longstanding non-intervention policy is expected to guide its response to the ongoing situation in Tehran.

This interview illustrates the delicate balance China seeks to maintain in international affairs, particularly in the context of its strategic alliances. While the military strikes by the US and Israel have escalated the situation, the emphasis from Beijing remains firmly on diplomatic solutions and strategic ambiguity, reflecting its historical approach to conflicts involving its allies.

With the situation in Tehran continuing to evolve, the global community watches closely to assess China’s next steps and the implications for international stability.